Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.206308 0.229113 0.252639 0.278671 0.306613 0.335650 0.368053
2024-12-29 0.179652 0.211349 0.245380 0.284454 0.327897 0.374535 0.428207
2025-01-05 0.157048 0.194478 0.236091 0.285405 0.341862 0.404100 0.477508
2025-01-12 0.138766 0.180184 0.227721 0.285667 0.353725 0.430473 0.522891
2025-01-19 0.122811 0.166843 0.218920 0.284070 0.362384 0.452498 0.562998
2025-01-26 0.111568 0.158001 0.214434 0.286688 0.375319 0.479098 0.608338
2025-02-02 0.104448 0.153535 0.214655 0.294506 0.394179 0.512626 0.662059
2025-02-09 0.095315 0.145621 0.209829 0.295440 0.404169 0.535269 0.702766
2025-02-16 0.089166 0.141084 0.208841 0.300828 0.419438 0.564258 0.751295
2025-02-23 0.084827 0.138601 0.210214 0.309017 0.438137 0.597535 0.805347
2025-03-02 0.077103 0.130759 0.203893 0.306658 0.442985 0.613348 0.837768
2025-03-09 0.071441 0.125414 0.200566 0.307928 0.452279 0.634634 0.877049
2025-03-16 0.065111 0.118777 0.195276 0.306542 0.458315 0.652265 0.912585
2025-03-23 0.061571 0.116071 0.195320 0.312329 0.473849 0.682211 0.964074
2025-03-30 0.056887 0.111214 0.191950 0.313108 0.482504 0.703228 1.004290
2025-04-06 0.052453 0.106390 0.188316 0.313250 0.490119 0.722832 1.042786
2025-04-13 0.047922 0.101028 0.183544 0.311463 0.494864 0.738544 1.076253
2025-04-20 0.044888 0.097932 0.182008 0.314216 0.505836 0.762566 1.120765
2025-04-27 0.043378 0.097341 0.184271 0.322548 0.524711 0.797364 1.179812
2025-05-04 0.040352 0.093822 0.181719 0.323530 0.533076 0.817972 1.220178
2025-05-11 0.038554 0.092375 0.182367 0.329279 0.548269 0.847974 1.273316
2025-05-18 0.037471 0.092166 0.184974 0.338020 0.567860 0.884174 1.335082
2025-05-25 0.034301 0.087739 0.180407 0.335497 0.570942 0.897593 1.366213